PSG Reclaims Top Spot in Ligue 1 After Key Weekend Results: A Season Turning Point?

Did we witness a turning point in the Ligue 1 season this past weekend? Paris Saint-Germain reclaimed the top spot in the league, overtaking RC Lens after the latter’s defeat to AS Monaco (2-3).

PSG took a significant step towards securing the French championship title by defeating FC Metz (3-0) and capitalizing on Lens’s slip-up against AS Monaco (2-3). According to Opta’s AI, the Parisians now have over a 92% chance of being crowned champions, as updated predictions for the final standings were released after the 23rd matchday.

Despite their defeat to Racing Strasbourg, Olympique Lyonnais remains the favorite to finish in third place, well ahead of Olympique de Marseille, who suffered a loss to Brest (2-0) during Habib Beye’s debut as head coach. AS Monaco, set to face PSG on Wednesday in the Champions League playoffs, is currently ranked 8th and remains in the AI’s projections.

Ligue 1 Final Standings According to Opta After Matchday 23

Source: Opta Analyst, February 23, 2026

Rank	Chance Percentage
1. PSG	92.60%
2. RC Lens	76.67%
3. OL	59.67%
4. OM	44.69%
5. LOSC	24.86%
6. Stade Rennais	23.51%
7. RC Strasbourg	20.68%
8. AS Monaco	24.23%
9. FC Lorient	20.29%
10. Brest	22.43%
11. Toulouse	20.94%
12. SCO Angers	26.10%
13. Le Havre AC	25.75%
14. OGC Nice	27.05%
15. Paris FC	33.41%
16. AJ Auxerre	36.48%
17. FC Nantes	41.07%
18. FC Metz	70.23%