Football Manager 2026 Predictions for Champions League Final Matchday Outcomes

With the final day of the Champions League group stage approaching, we’ve simulated the upcoming matches 100 times using Football Manager 2026. The results are quite surprising.

As the ultimate day of the Champions League group stage draws near, Football Manager 2026 takes on the role of an oracle. By simulating each match of this decisive European Wednesday 100 times, the renowned management game provides insights into what promises to be a thrilling evening across the board.

The most anticipated matchup, PSG vs. Newcastle, stands out as one of the most unpredictable. The simulations predominantly favor the Parisians. In contrast, Real Madrid emerges as a solid choice; they dominate against Benfica in a majority of the simulations, reaffirming their status as a natural favorite. The same can be said for FC Barcelona, who are frequently victorious at home against FC Copenhagen.

On the French front, Olympique de Marseille shows mixed results at Bruges, but a narrow victory surfaces as slightly more likely, offering a glimmer of hope for qualification. Meanwhile, the clash between AS Monaco and Juventus is likely to give supporters some anxious moments.

Football Manager’s Predictions for the Last Day of the Champions League

Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Athletic Bilbao: 29	34	Sporting CP: 37
Liverpool: 82	16	Qarabag: 2
FC Barcelona: 76	11	FC Copenhagen: 13
AS Monaco: 29	41	Juventus: 31
Ajax: 39	27	Olympiakos: 34
PSG: 52	26	Newcastle: 24
Borussia Dortmund: 28	39	Inter Milan: 33
Napoli: 26	38	Chelsea: 36
Eintracht Frankfurt: 13	31	Tottenham: 56
Atletico Madrid: 72	18	Bodo/Glimt: 10
Bayer 04: 46	15	Villarreal: 39
Arsenal: 96	4	Kairat: 0
Pafos: 12	17	Slavia Prague: 61
Manchester City: 57	18	Galatasaray: 25
Club Bruges: 25	29	Olympique de Marseille: 46
SL Benfica: 22	23	Real Madrid: 55
Union SG: 21	36	Atalanta Bergamo: 43
PSV Eindhoven: 19	7	Bayern Munich: 74